hit a big butch and it ain't pretty. the man republican operatives have reportedly been urging romney to get out and get blasting is here and talking. wrong man paul ryan joining me from memphis, tennessee. what do you make of the latest numbers congressman? you have talked about weakness in the economy, but prior to the data today, congressman, we been seeing a pickup of consumer sentiment and obviously we see markets all over the map but what did this signal? >>guest: we have seen slow growth. now we see it is slower. a downward revision from 1.7 to 1.3 percent is a big drop. the drop in durable goods is enormous. this is not what a real recovery looks like. as you mentioned from the fay of businesses and manufacturers, they see more clouds ahead. it is because of the president's failed policies. mitt romney and i are preparing very specific pro growth solutions to get real growth in the economy. there is no reason why we cannot get the who growing at its potential and get people back to work. that is why we propose pro growth reforms and lower tax rates giving businesses incentive

romney shut be scare the because a reliable barometer just turned bad for him. stocks closing out the trading month up and the latest quarter up a lot more. the dow, despite today's soft performance, surging 2 percent this month, almost double that in the last three months. stronger quarterly gains for the s&p 500 and nasdaq which means in an election year, good for the incumbent almost every election year. 39 days out, does that mean that the president is in? our market watcher says no, not when you factor the recent state of bad economic numbers. or the scores of major u.s. companies throwing workers out. larry, which is the more dominant theme? >>guest: just to illustrate that point, look no further than a country like greece on the verge of a depression, 25 percent unemployment, civil unrest, yet their stock market is up almost as much as our stock market. it shows you how disconnected main street has become from wall street in this committee. the reason for that is because of unprecedented central bank easing. that is what we are seeing. that is playing out in storms around -

: the poll that is not getting out, the one where mitt romney is leading, leading, among ns and by a lot. our pollster is here to say this election is not over because independents are not moving over to the president as much as you think. break this down. what is it telling us? >>guest: well, from what we have seen in a number of polls particularly in the battle ground states where the parties are evenly balanced, the independent voters are leaning slightly toward mitt romney. we see it in florida where some polls have them up 44-40. another has romney up 49-46. in ohio he is up just barely with independents and in new hampshire he is up 4 points among independents. what we see is that there are two things that have to lap to win an election. first, you have to mobilize your supporters to get out and vote. second, you have to sway those independents much in the united states, even people who are independent tend to lean either the republican side or democratic side. back if 2008, the independents who leaned democrat were to borrow a phrase ready to go, voting if high numbers. more than repub

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